For Edmonton, 195 men and 115 women (total 310) registered in advance their interest with the BTF to go to Edmonton (source 1 below). Of those less than half qualified (90 men and 58 women) and for whatever reason one of the 35-39 women did not take up her place. That means that every place is fiercely contested so the more qualifying events you enter the better chance you have of qualifying.
Does that mean that there is less competition for the World Championships qualification places than for the European Championships qualification places? Not for 2017!
In 2014, the fact that the worlds were in Canada put it out of the price range of some competitors, hence a lower takeup of people registering with the BTF for the worlds.
In 2017, both the World and European Championships are in Europe, so the cost of getting there is about the same (possibly slightly cheaper for the Worlds). The main difference will be that for the Europeans, only Europeans will be competing against UK competitors, but for the Worlds, those competitors will be joined by the Australians, Canadians, Americans and many others, so podium places will be more difficult to obtain for UK competitors.
That difference is reflected in the BTF qualification conditions where the roll-down percentage is 115% for the Worlds and 120% for the Europeans (approx 6 to 7 mins longer for European depending on Age Group and winners time). You could enter both series to try and qualify for both, but I understand that means two sets of Registration of Interest.
I have used the last published race results of the three qualifying events to work up a hypothetical “Fantasy” result (see below for links to results used). Obviously everyone is older now so some of the competitors will have gone up an age group since the last event, some will have retired and there will be a host of new competitors coming into the mix, so this really is a pure “fantasy” result and is only intended as a guide.
It should be remembered that on average 20% of competitors move up an age group every year, and in addition some competitors retire from competition and new competitors join the arena every year, so I must emphasise again this is only a guide.
Unless you are exceptionally good and can guarantee you will not be ill or puncture, you should enter at least two events to ensure a better chance of qualification. If you are an exceptionally good swimmer, you should consider entering the Worthing event as one of them because the sea swim really causes large splits and good swimmers seem to get a good roll-down percentage, whereas the average swimmers do not.
For everyone else the races to choose are really about the dates and your recovery time if you become injured or ill.
Shropshire will be on 29th May,
Liverpool will be 11 weeks later on 14th August
Worthing 2 weeks after that on 28th August.
Naturally formed Ice Age Mere
(similar to Schwarzsee Lake,
Man made ship docks (Queen &
Sea - best suited to strong
swimmers, especially if a strong
One lap of countryside circuit
Four laps of city centre route.
One out and back route through
One lap of country lane circuit
Two out and back laps of city
One out and back route.
In addition, with Kitzbühel 2014 being so successful and the ITU wanting to return there again so soon, I would put my neck on the line by saying I expect the 2014 figure of 779 BTF Registrations of Interest to be exceeded in 2016. If you really want to go to Kitzbühel, you now have some extra information to help you decide which qualifying events to enter.
Source 3: Shropshire results:
Source 4: Liverpool results:
Source 5: Worthing results: